Which Trump 2028 Term prediction category will Manifold perform best relative to Nate Silver?
Politique américaineOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleConstitutionality (1 of 10 Resolved, Manifold -0.28 (Better) Brier) 13.5%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète18 mars 25, 15:21 UTC16 févr. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Originally from this Article:
- https://www.natesilver.net/p/113-predictions-for-trumps-second
- Overall Competition:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/trumps-second-term-will-manifold-ou?play=true)That question (and this question) uses the time locked percentages from Manifold which was two weeks after Nates' article was published (and is why some questions are excluded).
- Spreadsheet Used For Tracking
- Live Manifold Tracking Market of Individual Questions:
