Which third party will successfully get elected a U.S. Representative, Senator, Governor, or President first?
Politique14a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleLibertarian Party 33.8%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète2 avr. 26, 16:45 UTC3 nov. 40, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Representative or Senator will have the highest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich incumbent Representative or Senator will have the lowest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?
Manifold MarketsWill a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Ohio elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItWill Iowa elect a Senator and Governor from different parties?
PredictItRègles
Eligible Parties
- Any political party other than the Democratic or Republican parties counts.
- National, state, or local third parties are all included.
- Independents do not count.
- Candidate Requirements
- The candidate must run officially on the ballot as a nominee of the third party.
