Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?
6.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine1mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAbdul El-Sayed 92%+6.0ptEn tête parmi 31 options
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+42.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
13 nov. 26, 20:53 UTC3 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?
KalshiHow many votes will Van Hollen get on the first Senate leader ballot?
KalshiWill Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?
KalshiWill Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer remain the Democratic Leader through the 119th Congress?
PredictItWill Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvanhollenbackers/which-senators-will-back-van-hollen-for-senate-democratic-leader/kxvanhollenbackers-27jan03
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the named outcome publicly backs Chris Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader when the caucus votes, or says by the end of the next day that they voted for him before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
