Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Starship 45.7%En tête parmi 4 options
Starship 45.7%Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 25, 23:48 UTC31 déc. 32, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ?
Manifold MarketsWill Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Market resolves once one of these launches with humans on board.
- Launch doesn't have to be successful.
- Launch doesn't have to be orbital (point-to-point counts).
- Launch does have to be the full stack (only second stage of Starship doesn't count)
