Which party will win the 2028 U.S. House election in Arizona's 1st District?
21.2 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic Party 61.6%+21.2ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+21.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
6 nov. 26, 01:02 UTC8 nov. 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolves to the party that wins the November 7, 2028 U.S. House election in Arizona's 1st District: whichever district is numbered 1 on the map in effect for that election.
- N/A if that map has no district numbered 1.
- Only the party matters: a Democratic or Republican nominee counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Anyone else resolves to Other, or to their own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called the race and no recount could change it.
- N/A if no election for this seat is held.
