Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Illinois's 2nd District?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 2026
Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Democratic Party — Donna Miller (97.2%)
Résolu: 4 nov. 2026, 08:59
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
Democratic Party — Donna Miller
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
—
Chronologie des Probabilités
Democratic Party — Donna Miller97.2%
Republican Party — Michael Noack2.1%
Another party or independent0.7%
Gagné
Perdu
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Mike Noack win the Illinois 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Donna Miller win the Illinois 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Illinois's 2nd congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
