Which of Talarico, El-Sayed and Brown have the biggest winning margin?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection3jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAbdul El-Sayed (Michigan) 42.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+9.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète30 oct. 26, 02:46 UTC6 nov. 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Talarico and El-Sayed combined margin of victory of 10% or more?
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KalshiWho will control the House?
KalshiRègles
This market resolves to the candidate with the biggest margin in the November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate general election in their state.
- Margin = the candidate's vote share minus the runner-up's vote share, in percentage points.
- If the candidate loses, it's their vote share minus the winner's share, so the margin counts as a minus number (e.g. losing 47% to 51% is -4).
- The highest margin wins.
- If some or all of the three lose, the one who lost by the least still wins this market (-2 beats -5).
- Vote shares use total votes cast in that race, including third-party and write-in votes.
