Talarico and El-Sayed combined margin of victory of 10% or more?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection11jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard22 oct. 26, 23:10 UTC4 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolves YES if James Talarico (texas senate) and Abdul el sayed (Michigan senate) combined margin of victory is 10% or more.
- Margin of victory is their vote percent total minus the second place candidates vote percent total.
- If they lose, their margin of victory will be a negative number.
- For example if Talarico wins by 4% and el sayed by 7%, this market will resolve yes.(11% more than 10%)
- If Talarico wins by 3% and el sayed by 3%, this would resolve no (6% less than 10%)
- If Talarico loses by 2% and el sayed wins by 2%, then this would resolve no (-2+2+0, which is less than 10)