Which of Sabine Hossenfelder's predictions from "What will they think about us in 2085?" will be right?
IA
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Supersonic planes will make a comeback by 2085 69.7%En tête parmi 13 options
Supersonic planes will make a comeback by 2085 69.7%Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
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Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète30 juin 24, 02:34 UTC31 déc. 25, 13:29 UTC
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KalshiRègles
Sabine Hossenfelder makes her predictions for the future in her latest video "What will they think about us in 2085?"
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/fdqNJo6JScA)I've tried to summarize and fairly represent Sabine's predictions but I'm definitely open to any changes that might need to be made.
- Most predictions specified a year but for the monogamy/polyamory one and the drone deliveries one she just said "soon".
- For any other predictions with no time frame I've just assumed 2085.
- A asked Claude 3.5 Sonnet for some quantifiable metrics for each prediction and they seemed like a good start.
- Would be really interested if Sabine would sign off on these:
