Prévision communautaire actuelle
Anthropic 30.6%+5.6ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+5.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète31 oct. 26, 14:58 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which lab will have the #1 model on Epoch AI's Capabilities Index (ECI) on November 6, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTop AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?
KalshiWhat will the top score on Epoch AI's FrontierMath: Erdős (68 open Erdős problems) be on November 7, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Which organization's model will have the highest Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score on Epoch AI's ECI page on November 30, 2026?
- Resolution source: Epoch AI's ECI page (https://epoch.ai/eci) and the ECI scores file inside Epoch's downloadable benchmark data (https://epoch.ai/data/benchmark_data.zip, file epoch_capabilities_index/eci_scores.csv, column eci).
- I will check both on December 1, 2026 (UTC), using the data as published for November 30.
- If they disagree, the CSV wins.
- How it resolves: to the organization (the CSV's Organization column) of the single model with the highest ECI score.
- Any model counts — open or closed, any version — as long as Epoch lists it.