Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleStanford 26.9%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète3 mai 26, 06:52 UTC16 févr. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Monkey get perfect score on Putnam exam by 2060?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?
Manifold MarketsBig Brother Season 28 · 3rd place
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the institution that secures the 3rd place ranking in the official team competition for the 2025 William Lowell Putnam Mathematical Competition.
- The official results, as published by the Mathematical Association of America (MAA) on their website (https://maa.org/math-competitions/putnam), will be the final authority for resolution.
- If the official results list multiple institutions as tied for 3rd place, the market will resolve to a proportional payout or N/A based on the final, official standing documentation, unless a tie-breaking rule is specified by the MAA.
- If the competition is cancelled or no official results are released by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve N/A. The William Lowell Putnam Mathematical Competition is an annual contest for undergraduate college students in the United States and Canada.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
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- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which college will get 3rd place on the 2026 Putnam exam? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Stanford à 27% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which college will get 3rd place on the 2026 Putnam exam? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which college will get 3rd place on the 2026 Putnam exam? doit être résolu le 16 février 2027.
- Comment Which college will get 3rd place on the 2026 Putnam exam? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria