Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
15.8 pts (24h)US Politics1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleTucker Carlson 96.9%+15.8ptEn tête parmi 21 options
Prévisionnistes
107
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+15.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
10 nov. 24, 07:17 UTC4 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Simple disagreement is not enough to resolve YES - it has to be big enough of a split that one could call them a "trump critic." If I see any of them identified as "trump critic," or otherwise splitting from team Trump in a significant way, that'd be enough to resolve YES.
- Getting fired and then going on CNN to dish out some juicy dirt would also be enough, for example.
- Basically - who's gonna burn some friendships?
- Please do not submit anyone who can already be characterized as a "trump critic," or who has already split from Trump's team due to criticism.
- This market's resolution is subjective, so I will not bet on this market.
- In the case that I am unable to resolve this market, I leave it in the hands of any moderator without any shares on this market.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Tucker Carlson à 97% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
- Comment Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Simple disagreement is not enough to resolve YES - it has to be big enough of a split that one could call them a "trump critic." If I see any of them identified as "trump critic," or otherwise splitting from team Trump in a significant way, that'd be enough to resolve YES.