When will the first fully driverless commercial ride-hailing trip take place in London?
One-OffTech9moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleLater than June 2027 37%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète3 mars 26, 12:06 UTC1 juil. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
"When will the first ride-hailing trip with no human in the driver's seat take place in London, under an APS permit?"
- Resolves to the date of the first publicly confirmed trip where:
- A member of the public (non-employee of the operator) books and rides in a road vehicle on a public road within the Greater London Authority boundary
- No human is in the vehicle to monitor the vehicle i.e. no safety drivers or safety attendants
- The trip is a point-to-point ride-hailing service
- The operator holds a valid APS permit granted by the Secretary of State under Part 5 of the Automated Vehicles Act 2024
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the first fully driverless commercial ride-hailing trip take place in London? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Later than June 2027 à 37% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the first fully driverless commercial ride-hailing trip take place in London? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the first fully driverless commercial ride-hailing trip take place in London? doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2027.
- Comment When will the first fully driverless commercial ride-hailing trip take place in London? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : "When will the first ride-hailing trip with no human in the driver's seat take place in London, under an APS permit?"