Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore Jun 2027 95%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète14 sept. 26, 11:29 UTC6 févr. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Muse Spark 1.4+ (Meta) release date
Manifold MarketsNext Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on?
PolymarketNext Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date?
Polymarket'Watermelon' LLM (Meta) release date
Manifold MarketsWill Meta release Llama 5 this year?
KalshiRègles
Each option resolves YES if Meta publicly releases downloadable weights for any Muse Spark version before the stated deadline , and NO otherwise.
- Weights must allow independent use.
- Standard registration or license acceptance is fine.
- Announcements, API-only access, selective access, leaks, and other model families do not count.
- Resolution is based on official Meta sources and actual weight availability.