Ce marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Résolu: 30 juin 2026, 14:13
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Prévision communautaire actuelleBy May 31st 0%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
85
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 jours
Obsolète16 mai 26, 16:2230 juin 26, 14:13
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· By May 31st
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global85% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 99% | — | 82,1 k € | 293,3 k € | il y a 17 jours | Ouvrir → |
 Polymarket82% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 100% | — | 13,3 k € | 0 € | il y a 16 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets82% de correspondance · lié | — | 100% | — | — | — | il y a 18 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 0% | — | — | — | il y a 26 jours |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
1.0 ptsFermés
Résolu
Before Jul 10, 2026 (99%)
+1.0pt99%
99%
99%
+11 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevée
Volume total698,7 k €
Volume 24h82,1 k €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
GPT-5.6 released by which date?
2.3 ptsFermés
+0.3pt100%
+0.8pt100%
+0.4pt100%
+17 résultats de plus
44 • Faible qualitéSpread serréFaible liquidité
Volume total3,7 M €
Volume 24h13,3 k €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
GPT 5.6 released by which date?
Fermés
+1.1pt100%
+1.0pt100%
+1.0pt100%
+7 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire77 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the option corresponding to the first official public release or general availability date of the model designated as "GPT-5.6" by OpenAI.
- "By May 31st" resolves to YES if the release date is on or before May 31, 2026.
- Subsequent options resolve to YES if the release date falls within the respective weekly windows, following the exhaustion of the prior timeframe.
- If no model officially named "GPT-5.6" is released by the latest provided date, this market will resolve to N/A.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from OpenAI’s newsroom (https://openai.com/news/) or verified statements from OpenAI leadership.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$2.8k99.7%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? — YesSomber-Ice-18 j
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? — YesSomber-Ice-18 j$1.3k99.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 10, 2026 — Yes-19 j
KALSHIBefore Jul 10, 2026 — Yes-19 j$2.0k99.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 9, 2026 — No-19 j
KALSHIBefore Jul 9, 2026 — No-19 j$1.2k93.3%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026? — Nothoodr-20 j
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026? — Nothoodr-20 j$1.1k99.9%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Noblunderbot-21 j
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Noblunderbot-21 j$1.1k63.3%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? — NoStraddleSeller-23 j
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026? — NoStraddleSeller-23 j$2.9k98.1%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Nopulgarcito23-23 j
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? — Nopulgarcito23-23 j$13.2k99.9%POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? — NoThe-Joker-24 j
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? — NoThe-Joker-24 jMarchés Associés
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the option corresponding to the first official public release or general availability date of the model designated as "GPT-5.6" by OpenAI.
- "By May 31st" resolves to YES if the release date is on or before May 31, 2026.
- Subsequent options resolve to YES if the release date falls within the respective weekly windows, following the exhaustion of the prior timeframe.
- If no model officially named "GPT-5.6" is released by the latest provided date, this market will resolve to N/A.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from OpenAI’s newsroom (https://openai.com/news/) or verified statements from OpenAI leadership.