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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. GPT 5.6 released by…?
Manifold Markets

GPT 5.6 released by…?

IATechOne-Off6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
11.59pm ET May 31 2026 0%
En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes

38

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes

18 mai 26, 3:1731 déc. 26, 2:14

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

11.59pm ET June 7 20261%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Manifold Markets
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2.
  • (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
  • Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market.
  • Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

Marchés Associés

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

45,2 k €
Anthropic: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of July?

Which company has best AI model end of July?

21,6 k €
Anthropic: 81%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

13,5 k €
Anthropic: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

627,5 €
By Jan 1, 2026: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?

By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?

500,7 €
Before 2024-06-01: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

471,6 €
Oui: 36%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,867.10+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.07+1.88%SolanaSOL$65.28+1.86%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.73%BNBBNB$596.82+1.84%XRPXRP$1.12+0.74%

Actualités Associées

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Manifold Markets
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2.
  • (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
  • Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market.
  • Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.