Prévision communautaire actuelle
Never, or later than 2050. 54.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
48
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète3 nov. 23, 02:23 UTC1 janv. 50, 14:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Context: In the recent Dwarkesh Patel interview, Paul Christiano gave an AI capable of building a Dyson Sphere a chance of 15% the named outcome and 40% the named outcome.
- Is this plausible?
- Question: When we will have an AI capable of building a Dyson Sphere?
- Notes: - I will not bet in this market. - Answers will resolve at the date is hit, or we develop AI. - I make rulings on my markets based on the spirit of the question, not the strict rules as written.
