When Coup in Venezuela? Will a new government be established in Venezuela that officially ceases to recognize Maduro?
PolitiqueGéopolitique1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellebefore December 28 2027 (ET) 47.9%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète4 janv. 26, 03:48 UTC29 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
Will a new government be established in Venezuela that officially ceases to recognize Nicolás Maduro as President before [Insert Date]?
- Resolution Criteria for "coup":
- This market will resolve to YES if, by the specified date, a government is in power in Caracas that meets at least two of the following conditions:
- Official Denunciation: The executive branch or a newly formed governing council issue an official decree stating that Nicolás Maduro is no longer the President of Venezuela.
- New Presidential Oath: An individual other than Nicolás Maduro or his direct "continuity" appointee (e.g., a leader from the opposition or a military-led transitional council) is sworn in as President and exercises de facto control over the Venezula's capital and state institutions.
- Constitutional Nullification: The Supreme Court or a newly convened legislative body formally nullifies Maduro’s current term and recognizes a successor who is not part of his immediate political circle.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When Coup in Venezuela? Will a new government be established in Venezuela that officially ceases to recognize Maduro? ?
- Manifold Markets cote before December 28 2027 (ET) à 48% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When Coup in Venezuela? Will a new government be established in Venezuela that officially ceases to recognize Maduro? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When Coup in Venezuela? Will a new government be established in Venezuela that officially ceases to recognize Maduro? doit être résolu le 29 décembre 2027.
- Comment When Coup in Venezuela? Will a new government be established in Venezuela that officially ceases to recognize Maduro? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will a new government be established in Venezuela that officially ceases to recognize Nicolás Maduro as President before [Insert Date]?