What will John Fetterman’s official party affiliation and caucus situation be on 1 July 2027?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine8mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocrat 71%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+16.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète23 oct. 26, 08:37 UTC1 juil. 27, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be Senator John Fetterman's official party registration on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsJohn Fetterman out by which date?
PolymarketWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWho will John Fetterman endorse or suggest voting for in the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic primary for PA Senate Seat?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the single option that accurately reflects John Fetterman's official party registration/affiliation and formal caucus membership in the United States Senate as of 11:59 PM ET on July 1, 2027.
- Democrat: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is officially registered as a Democrat and formally caucuses with the Senate Democratic Caucus.
- the named outcome: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is registered as an Independent, unaffiliated, or with a third party, and formally organizes/caucuses with the Senate Democratic Caucus.
- the named outcome: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is registered as an Independent, unaffiliated, or with a third party, and formally organizes/caucuses with the Senate Republican Conference.
- Republican: Resolves to YES if Fetterman is officially registered as a Republican and formally caucuses with the Senate Republican Conference.