Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocrat 78.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète27 févr. 26, 23:51 UTC2 janv. 28, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will John Fetterman’s official party affiliation and caucus situation be on 1 July 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman stop being senator before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsNorth Carolina early voters: party registration margin?
KalshiPennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
KalshiJohn Fetterman out by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves to a single winning option based on John Fetterman's official voter registration or his officially declared U.S. Senate party affiliation at 12:00 PM (Noon) ET on January 1, 2028.
- Resolves via official U.S. Senate roster records or verified major news reporting of his PA voter registration.
- This market is strictly about his registration label.
- If he registers as an Independent but continues to caucus with the Democrats, it resolves to the named outcome.
- The "the named outcome" option triggers if he registers as Unaffiliated, Independent, or with any third party (e.g., Forward, Libertarian, Green).