What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years?

One-OffUS Politics Crime & Justice1a

Manifold MarketsSans KYC

Prévision communautaire actuelle

The ICE agent is fired 12.3%

En tête parmi 14 options

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 15 jours

Obsolète

8 janv. 26, 2:1710 janv. 28, 2:16

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

The ICE agent is fired12%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will use subjective judgment to determine whether a future ICE civilian killing qualifies as being "as a result of" the prior ICE shooting in Minneapolis.

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "ICE kills another civilian" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.

Marchés Associés

Who will be arrested before 2027?

2,5 k €

Barack Obama: 6%

KALSHI

Who will be arrested before 2027?

537,8 €

John Brennan: 36%

POLYMARKET

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

525,9 €

Oui: 5%

POLYMARKET

Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?

285,7 €

Oui: 16.4%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?

182,3 €

Oui: 14%

FUTUUR

Will an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?

175,3 €

Oui: 8.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$61,696.78-3.49%

EthereumETH$1,722.61-4.14%

SolanaSOL$76.62-6.68%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0719-4.42%

XRPXRP$1.07-5.04%

BNBBNB$562.25-3.84%

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South Korea moves to prosecute crypto whale for alleged pump-and-dump schemeThe Block

Goliath Ventures CEO Pleads Guilty to $250M Crypto Ponzi SchemeDecrypt

Former Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty in $400M crypto Ponzi caseCointelegraph

Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty for role in $400M crypto PonziCrypto News

Règles

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "ICE kills another civilian" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.

What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years?

One-OffUS Politics Crime & Justice1a

Manifold MarketsSans KYC

Prévision communautaire actuelle

The ICE agent is fired 12.3%

En tête parmi 14 options

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 15 jours

Obsolète

8 janv. 26, 2:1710 janv. 28, 2:16

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier

Résultat choisi

The ICE agent is fired12%

Mise (USDT)

Règles

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "ICE kills another civilian" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.

Marchés Associés

Who will be arrested before 2027?

2,5 k €

Barack Obama: 6%

KALSHI

Who will be arrested before 2027?

537,8 €

John Brennan: 36%

POLYMARKET

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

525,9 €

Oui: 5%

POLYMARKET

Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?

285,7 €

Oui: 16.4%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?

182,3 €

Oui: 14%

FUTUUR

Will an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?

175,3 €

Oui: 8.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$61,696.78-3.49%

EthereumETH$1,722.61-4.14%

SolanaSOL$76.62-6.68%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0719-4.42%

XRPXRP$1.07-5.04%

BNBBNB$562.25-3.84%

Actualités Associées

Chinese Exile Miles Guo Sentenced to 30 Years for $1B Crypto Fraud SchemeThe Defiant

Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty in $400 million crypto Ponzi caseCoindesk

South Korea moves to prosecute crypto whale for alleged pump-and-dump schemeThe Block

Goliath Ventures CEO Pleads Guilty to $250M Crypto Ponzi SchemeDecrypt

Former Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty in $400M crypto Ponzi caseCointelegraph

Goliath Ventures CEO pleads guilty for role in $400M crypto PonziCrypto News

Règles

Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training).
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents.
Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "ICE kills another civilian" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation.
The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.