Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? ?

Manifold Markets cote Discovery of novel concept in mathematics à 73% au 21 septembre 2026.

Quand What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? sera-t-il résolu ?

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

12.7 pts (24h)One-OffIA3a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Discovery of novel concept in mathematics 72.9%-12.7pt

En tête parmi 5 options

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Variation 7j

-12.7 pts

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 heures

Obsolète

29 janv. 25, 16:28 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

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Règles

Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

These answers must describe emergent behavior in AI/LLMs made public knowledge after January 1st 2025, which become topics of significant interest and debate (similar to the discussion over "move 37").
Inspired by this tweet from Karpathy:
[image]https://x.com/karpathy/status/1884336943321997800

Signaler un problème de données sur ce marché

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

12.7 pts (24h)One-OffIA3a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Discovery of novel concept in mathematics 72.9%-12.7pt

En tête parmi 5 options

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Variation 7j

-12.7 pts

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 heures

Obsolète

29 janv. 25, 16:28 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Kalshi

Anthropic IPO by which date?

Polymarket

Next Claude Opus released by which date?

Polymarket

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Kalshi

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Polymarket

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Manifold Markets

Règles

Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

These answers must describe emergent behavior in AI/LLMs made public knowledge after January 1st 2025, which become topics of significant interest and debate (similar to the discussion over "move 37").
Inspired by this tweet from Karpathy:
[image]https://x.com/karpathy/status/1884336943321997800

Signaler un problème de données sur ce marché

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? ?: Manifold Markets cote Discovery of novel concept in mathematics à 73% au 21 septembre 2026.
Quand What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? sera-t-il résolu ?: What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
Comment What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

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