What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection3mo
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic House and Senate 42.4%-0.3%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
99
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète15 nov. 24, 22:374 nov. 26, 5:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democratic House and Senate42%
Comparer les plateformes· Democratic House, Republican Senate
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global85% de correspondance · vérifié | Élevée | 46% | — | 54,3 k € | 4,5 M € | il y a 7 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Polymarket88% de correspondance · vérifié | Élevée | 44% | — | 10,4 k € | 824,3 k € | il y a 13 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets82% de correspondance · lié | — | 44% | — | — | — | il y a 2 heures | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 44% | — | — | — | il y a 8 heures | |
 PredictIt92% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 41% | — | — | — | il y a 6 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur PredictIt
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
41%
38%
23%
+1 résultats de plus
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
0.5%3mo
44%
41%
+0.5%14%
+2 résultats de plus
89 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total7,5 M €
Volume 24h10,4 k €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
3.0%6mo
+3.0%46%
-1.0%17%
-0.1%2%
+1 résultats de plus
100 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total7 M €
Volume 24h54,3 k €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
3mo
-0.3%42.4%
+0.1%12.1%
0.8%
+2 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire128 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$1610 juil.3j de données12 juil.
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Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.