Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
CryptoOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 202619j
LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democrats Sweep 61.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Democrats Sweep 61.5%Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
4 août 26, 13:50 UTC3 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
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Manifold MarketsWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
PredictItBalance of power after the 2028 elections
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Other.
This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections.
A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats.
A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President.
A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
- If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 62%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 63%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · Democrats sweep 59%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms? · Democrats Sweep 63%
