Prévision communautaire actuelle
Democrat trifecta 51%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+5.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète20 mars 25, 00:26 UTC7 nov. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Balance of power after 2028 US elections?
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KalshiWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
PredictItBalance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator plans to use reference markets closer to the election to determine resolution, making this a derivative market.
- Expected resolution criteria (pending final reference market selection):
- Independents count for the party they caucus with
- Tie in Senate broken by VP
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Balance of power after the 2028 elections ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democrat trifecta à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Balance of power after the 2028 elections sera-t-il résolu ?
- Balance of power after the 2028 elections doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2028.
- Comment Balance of power after the 2028 elections est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator plans to use reference markets closer to the election to determine resolution, making this a derivative market.