Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuellePuerto Rico 49.3%En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète2 mai 24, 19:46 UTC1 janv. 41, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?
Manifold MarketsWill New Hampshire remain the freest state in the United States, according to the Cato Institute, from 2023 to 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill any state in the United States be carbon neutral before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketRègles
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/51st_state
- Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple new states are added simultaneously: The market will resolve 50/50 between those states.
- Naming: This market resolves based on the colloquial area name, not the official state name.
- For example, if DC becomes a state with the official name "The State of Columbia", it would still resolve to the "the named outcome" answer option.