Prévision communautaire actuelle
Fable 5.5 67.5%+1.3ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+47.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard30 oct. 26, 12:54 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic release a new Claude Fable model before November 5, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release its next Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1)?
Manifold MarketsNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
LimitlessRègles
What version number will Anthropic give its next Claude Fable model (the first Fable newer than Claude Fable 5.1)? Resolves to the answer matching the name Anthropic uses in its official announcement (anthropic.com/news or the Claude model docs) for the first new Fable model made generally available (Claude apps, API or a cloud partner) between market creation and November 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC. - "the named outcome", "the named outcome", "the named outcome": the exact version number in the official name. - "the named outcome": any other number (5.3, 5.6, 6.5, a date-style name, etc.). - "the named outcome": nothing newer than Fable 5.1 is generally available by the deadline.
- Rumors, leaks, partner-only previews and hidden-routing reports don't count; only a general release does.
- If Anthropic releases two new Fable models on the same day, the lower version number counts.
- I'll resolve as soon as the official announcement is out.
- Context: Fable 5 shipped June 9 and Fable 5.1 on September 1, 2026.
- Rumors have used both "5.2" and "5.5" for the next one; neither name appears in any Anthropic document as of Oct 30.
