Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocrat 60%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète2 sept. 26, 19:41 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Brazil 2026 election have the same outcome as the US 2024 election?
Manifold MarketsIf the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in South Dakota?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in South Carolina?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kentucky?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Illinois?
PredictItRègles
Republican: Resolves YES if the nominee of the Republican Party wins the presidency.
- Democrat: Resolves YES if the nominee of the Democratic Party wins the presidency.
- Third-Party: Resolves YES if any candidate who is not the nominee of the Republican or Democratic Party (including Independents, Libertarians, Green Party candidates, etc.) wins the presidency.
- If the election is delayed, the market will remain open until the election is resolved.
- If the election is canceled, or the office of the President is abolished or structured such that there is no single winning candidate, the market will resolve as N/A.
