Prévision communautaire actuelle
Democratic Party 60%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard16 janv. 26, 11:26 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?
Manifold Markets“Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?”
Manifold MarketsWill a major 2028 Democratic presidential candidate propose creating a Cabinet-level department to deal with AI risk?
Manifold MarketsWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
PolymarketWill an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
KalshiU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The market resolves to whichever party the winning candidate is affiliated with at the time of their victory.
- Resolution will be determined by the official Electoral College results and the candidate's party affiliation as recorded by the Federal Election Commission and major news outlets.
- The "Other" category should only resolve yes if a candidate from a party other than Democratic, Republican, or Independent wins the presidency.
- I WILL bet in this market.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What Party will the Winning 2028 Presidential Candidate be? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democratic Party à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What Party will the Winning 2028 Presidential Candidate be? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What Party will the Winning 2028 Presidential Candidate be? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment What Party will the Winning 2028 Presidential Candidate be? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria