Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 07:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Democratic Party 64.9%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète16 janv. 26, 11:26 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?
Manifold Markets“Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?”
Manifold MarketsWill a major 2028 Democratic presidential candidate propose creating a Cabinet-level department to deal with AI risk?
Manifold MarketsWill Tim Walz be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
PolymarketWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The market resolves to whichever party the winning candidate is affiliated with at the time of their victory.
- Resolution will be determined by the official Electoral College results and the candidate's party affiliation as recorded by the Federal Election Commission and major news outlets.
- The "Other" category should only resolve yes if a candidate from a party other than Democratic, Republican, or Independent wins the presidency.
- I WILL bet in this market.
