“Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?”
PolitiqueSports électroniques2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNo Democrat wins 35%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète27 déc. 25, 19:29 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat Party will the Winning 2028 Presidential Candidate be?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold Markets2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party
Robinhood (Rothera)Presidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves to the Democratic nominee who wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- If the Democratic nominee does not win the election, the market resolves to “the named outcome.”
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour “Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?” ?
- Manifold Markets cote No Democrat wins à 35% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand “Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?” sera-t-il résolu ?
- “Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?” doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment “Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?” est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to the Democratic nominee who wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election.