US announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before October 1st
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsGéopolitiqueMiddle EastCommodities22jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 71.6%
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12
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète17 juil. 26, 09:29 UTC30 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Based on official announcements of department of energy or other relevant authorities.
- President Trump authorized the Department of Energy to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, beginning next week.
- This will take approximately 120 days to deliver based on planned discharge rates (March 11th, https://www.energy.gov/articles/united-states-release-172-million-barrels-oil-strategic-petroleum-reserve)
- The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of July 10th is 316.5 million barrels, down from 415 million pre-war.
- The past weeks have seen decreases of 5-9 millions a week.
- Some historical trends at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcsstus1&f=m, note that this is in thousands of barrels)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before October 1st ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 72% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand US announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before October 1st sera-t-il résolu ?
- US announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before October 1st doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment US announces another drawdown of Strategic Petroleum Reserve before October 1st est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Based on official announcements of department of energy or other relevant authorities.