Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 24 juil. 2026, 17:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelleBelow 150 million 9%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète6 mai 26, 12:1831 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
100%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Below 150 million9%
Tendance du volume
$8523 juil.2j de données24 juil.
Marchés Associés
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
0 €Oui: 3%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
0 €Oui: 5%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTIT
Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
0 €Before April 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
109,8 k €December 31: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
20,9 k €Before Jan 1, 2027: 21%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?
20,7 k €December 31: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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How much will US draw down on its petroleum reserves to ease the price shock from the Iran war?
- The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of April 24th is 397.9 million barrels, down from 415 million pre-war.
- President Trump authorized the Department of Energy to release 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, beginning next week.
- This will take approximately 120 days to deliver based on planned discharge rates (March 11th, https://www.energy.gov/articles/united-states-release-172-million-barrels-oil-strategic-petroleum-reserve)
- This market resolves based on the values officially reported by EIA - currently at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ under "Petroleum Balance Sheet".
- Directly at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/pdf/table1.pdf (will update if the source changes).