Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.8%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète23 déc. 25, 23:52 UTC1 janv. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Polymarket🧭Which of these things will happen before Ukraine joins NATO? [ADD RESPONSES]
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- Accession negotiations officially opened on 25 June 2024, and the market resolves YES if Ukraine becomes a full member of the European Union before January 1, 2029.
- Resolution will be determined by official EU announcements confirming Ukraine's accession as a member state.
- The market resolves NO if Ukraine has not achieved full membership by December 31, 2028.
- Ukraine applied for membership of the European Union on 28 February 2022, four days after it was invaded by Russia.
- The European Council granted Ukraine the status of a candidate for accession to the EU on 23 June 2022.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Ukraine joins EU before 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90.8% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Ukraine joins EU before 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Ukraine joins EU before 2029? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Ukraine joins EU before 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria