Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 89.6%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard4 janv. 26, 13:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
UK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK Government weaken the ZEV mandate (lowering the 2026 33% target or delaying compliance) before 31 Dec 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext leader out of power before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
According to
- https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/government-approval?crossBreak=female
- The UK government approval rating among women falls below 5% by the end of the year, or something destabilising happens like the government is dissolved, or replaced by another at a time other than an ordinary regular election.
- If they are voted out in an ordinary and normally timed electoral manner then it resolved N/A. At time of writing (4th of January), the rating is 9%, and it was recently (and plausibly again soon) 7%.
- I think it's worth asking the question of them again for a new year. 🤡🃏 Unfortunately I guess I have to say that the alternatives are worse 🤷♂️.
