Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 89.8%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète4 janv. 26, 13:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
UK governmental approval rating among women falls below 5% in 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
According to
- https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/government-approval?crossBreak=female
- The UK government approval rating among women falls below 5% by the end of the year, or something destabilising happens like the government is dissolved, or replaced by another at a time other than an ordinary regular election.
- If they are voted out in an ordinary and normally timed electoral manner then it resolved N/A. At time of writing (4th of January), the rating is 9%, and it was recently (and plausibly again soon) 7%.
- I think it's worth asking the question of them again for a new year. 🤡🃏 Unfortunately I guess I have to say that the alternatives are worse 🤷♂️.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : According to