Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 06:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 89.5%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète9 mars 26, 14:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year (repost from last year)?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiTrump approval rating at least ___ on October 30?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiTrump approval rating on October 30?
PolymarketRègles
Similar to last years market, lets do it again.
- According to
- https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/government-approval?crossBreak=female
- The UK government approval rating among women falls below 5% by the end of the year, or the government is dissolved, or is replaced by another at a time other than a normal election.
- If the government chooses to run an election this year (extremely early) and is voted out then it resolves N/A. At time of writing (9th of March), the rating is 10%, it reached 8% last year.