Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?
CommoditiesOne-Off3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68.6%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète28 mars 26, 08:43 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the UK Government issues at least one new North Sea oil and gas licence in 2026.
- As of November 2025, no new licences have been issued under Labour, and the government has confirmed it will proceed with plans not to issue new exploration licences.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the North Sea Transition Authority (NSTA) at https://www.nstauthority.co.uk/ or the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) at https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/department-for-energy-security-and-net-zero.
- The market resolves NO if no new licences are issued by 31 December 2026.
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KALSHIUS gas prices this week
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria