Trump leaves office over Epstein files?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineCriminalité et justiceÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.7%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète13 nov. 25, 23:48 UTC19 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump leaves office before the end of his current term (January 20, 2029) for any reason directly related to the Epstein files or documents.
- This includes resignation, impeachment and conviction, or removal via the 25th Amendment if explicitly triggered by Epstein-related revelations or political pressure stemming from the files.
- The market resolves NO if Trump completes his term or leaves office for unrelated reasons (health, other scandals, etc.).
- If Trump leaves office and the primary cause is ambiguous or disputed, resolution will be determined by the creator's assessment of whether Epstein files were a material factor in the departure.
- Trump promised during the 2024 election to release the Justice Department's "Epstein files," but his administration has resisted doing so.