Tesla will begin offering a truly driverless taxi service to the general public in at least one city in 2026
TechOne-Off4moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 89.2%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 26, 07:45 UTC11 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service in California by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat year will Tesla begin sale of their Optimus robot ?
Manifold MarketsWaymo serves the general public in Washington, D.C. before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRègles
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 944,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume total
- 620 k €
- Volume 24h
- 536 k €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- 514,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Tesla will begin offering a truly driverless taxi service to the general public in at least one city in 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Tesla will begin offering a truly driverless taxi service to the general public in at least one city in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Tesla will begin offering a truly driverless taxi service to the general public in at least one city in 2026 doit être résolu le 11 janvier 2027.
- Comment Tesla will begin offering a truly driverless taxi service to the general public in at least one city in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026