Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 04:37 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 81%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète1 avr. 26, 16:01 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a humanoid robot walk on the moon before an animal does
Manifold MarketsWhat month will the next human walk on the Moon?
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Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
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KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if a Tesla robot physically walks on the lunar surface at any point during 2028.
- Resolution requires:
- Confirmation from NASA, SpaceX, or Tesla official sources that a Tesla robot unit was transported to the Moon
- Video or photographic evidence showing the robot walking (not rolling, being carried, or stationary) on the lunar surface
- The walking must occur during calendar year 2028