Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 71.8%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard26 août 25, 23:42 UTC1 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US fertility rate in 2030 >= 1.7 if (and only if) Taylor Swift announces a pregnancy by 2029?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift endorse the Democratic candidate again in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)
KalshiTaylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in October?
PolymarketRègles
Having a child counts, as does announcing a miscarriage.
- Leaks and rumors don't count, but it's still an announcement even if it's not a surprise.
- Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Announcing a pregnancy via surrogacy does NOT count for resolution.