Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 90.8%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète7 oct. 25, 19:30 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still be in a relationship of some kind at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end? (alternate)
Manifold MarketsWho will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
PolymarketHow will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end?
Manifold MarketsWill Travis Kelce announce his retirement before next season?
KalshiWill Travis Kelce retire before next season?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves to YES if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce are still in a romantic relationship (married and not separated, engaged, or dating) as of December 31, 2028.
- The market resolves to NO if they have publicly announced a breakup or divorce by this date, OR if there is credible reporting that they are separated (including if they are in the process of divorce, even if not finalized).
- Resolution criteria: The market will be resolved based on credible news sources reporting on their relationship status.
- If there is no clear public information about a breakup or separation by the resolution date, and they were last known to be together, the market resolves to YES.
- Sources for resolution: Major news outlets such as People Magazine, E! News, or official statements from either Swift or Kelce or their representatives.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 91% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to YES if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce are still in a romantic relationship (married and not separated, engaged, or dating) as of December 31, 2028.