Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 96.6%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète8 janv. 26, 21:30 UTC30 déc. 26, 20:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsExcluding Susan Collins, will any Republican senate candidate get a higher percent of the vote than trump did in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?
KalshiWho will endorse Susan Collins?
KalshiWill Susan Collins win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
Susan Collins received about 98% last time, and 100% before that.
- She appears to be the republicans only hope of retaining the seat.
- However trump has truth socialled today that she should not be elected ever again.
- Will the very high performance in gop primaries continue?
- Resolves No if she doesn’t run for reelection, or gets below the required amount.
- Resolves yes if she receives 95.00000%+ or more of the vote.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2026.
- Comment Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Susan Collins received about 98% last time, and 100% before that.