Excluding Susan Collins, will any Republican senate candidate get a higher percent of the vote than trump did in 2024?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 64.7%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète7 sept. 26, 03:51 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Susan Collins 95.00%+ in GOP primary for Maine Senate Seat 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?
KalshiWho will endorse Susan Collins?
KalshiWill Susan Collins win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
Trump got 49.73% in Michigan in 2024.
- Mike rogers would need to get 49.74% or more to resolve yes.
- Trump got 64.20% in Arkansas in 2024.
- Will Tom cotton get 64.21% in 2026?
- Resolves yes if any Republican candidate in any 2026 us senate election does better than trump did in their state in 2024.
- In Georgia, resolves based on the first round, unless it goes to a runoff, in which it would resolve based on the runoff.
