Ce marché s'est résolu: 7 (99%)
Résolu: 29 sept. 2026, 22:02
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 sept. 2026, 11:32 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
40.1%
50.1%
60.1%
799%
80.5%
Other0.2%
Gagné
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many Successful Starship Splashdowns before successful Starship Catch?
Manifold MarketsWill an all-reused European orbital launch vehicle reach orbit before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX will do orbital refilling several times in 2026 with Starship V3?
Manifold MarketsWhich orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
The minimum is 4 as i am counting flights 4, 5, 6 and 10 as successfully splashed down.
- Update 2025-11-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is not a multiple resolution market - only one option can resolve YES.
- The market was temporarily resolved as 4 and then unresolved.
- Update 2026-05-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Flight 11 counts as a successful splashdown.
- Flight 12 appears successful but is pending confirmation from new video releases.
- If Flight 12 is confirmed, the total successful splashdowns would be 6.
