Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
8 mars 25, 00:01 UTC1 janv. 35, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
KalshiNew SF Bay bridge any time through 2030
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketRègles
The Strait of Messina Bridge must be open to public traffic in both directions before the end of 2034.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strait_of_Messina_Bridge
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 482,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 422,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,7 k €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 189,6 k €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Road bridge to Sicily open by 2035? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 61% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Road bridge to Sicily open by 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Road bridge to Sicily open by 2035? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2035.
- Comment Road bridge to Sicily open by 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Strait of Messina Bridge must be open to public traffic in both directions before the end of 2034.