Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.1%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète4 sept. 23, 21:02 UTC2 janv. 31, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Waymo cross any Bay bridge?
Manifold MarketsWill an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2030
Manifold MarketsNew US $20 bills don't have Andrew Jackson on them any time through 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track
- Currently the bridges we have are
- San Mateo - Hayward bridge, route 92, connecting Foster City/San Mateo to Hayward in the central bay
- Dumbarton Bridge - Connecting East Palo Alto to the south east bay
- San Francisco - Oakland Bay Bridge
- Golden Gate bridge - Connecting SF to Marin County in the north
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 482,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 422,4 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,7 k €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 189,6 k €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030 sera-t-il résolu ?
- New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030 doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2031.
- Comment New SF Bay bridge any time through 2030 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track