Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle≥$2T 100%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 45 minutes
En retard21 mai 26, 19:10 UTC1 oct. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by October 31?
PolymarketOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for SpaceX credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
