Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle≥$1.5T 90%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète21 mai 26, 19:10 UTC1 oct. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of September 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Marchés ouverts
Regulation
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt46%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt37%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+3.0pt34%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 99,5 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No80.2%
- Yes19.8%
- Volume total
- 13,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 80,7 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202792%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 16,6 k €
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+27.3pt70.6%
- 11–14B-8.8pt10.8%
- 8–11B-3.3pt4.9%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-3.0pt37.6%
- Before Sep 1, 202724.8%
- Before April 1, 202723.1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,4 k €
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Oklahoma vs Michigan
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Ohio State vs Texas
- Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote ≥$1.5T à 90% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2027.
- Comment Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-09-30.