SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
US PoliticsIAOne-Off3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 82.3%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète9 oct. 25, 23:09 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:08 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In the US, will there be binding legislation or an executive order explicitly addressing AI risks by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
FutuurWill POTUS issue an executive order aiming to mitigate security risks associated with open-source AI models before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill USPS reject at least 100,000 mail ballots due to Trump's executive order in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
PolymarketComprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation. ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation. sera-t-il résolu ?
- SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation. doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment SOAI#10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation. est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #10: Trump issues an unconstitutional executive order to ban state AI legislation.