Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.5%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
16 mai 25, 17:34 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by which date?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWill John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by Sept. 30?
PredictItWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by June 30?
PredictItRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator John Fetterman officially changes his party affiliation from the Democratic Party to any other party or to Independent before the conclusion of the 2028 United States presidential election.
- The change must be publicly announced and reflected in official records, such as the U.S. Senate's party affiliation listings.
- If no such change occurs by the date of the 2028 election, the market will resolve to "No."
- Senator John Fetterman, representing Pennsylvania, has been a member of the Democratic Party throughout his political career.
- In early 2025, speculation arose regarding a potential party switch due to his collaborations with Republican figures and support for certain policies aligned with the GOP.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria